{"id":29151,"date":"2021-03-08T19:14:28","date_gmt":"2021-03-08T16:14:28","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.teise.pro\/?p=29151"},"modified":"2021-03-08T19:14:30","modified_gmt":"2021-03-08T16:14:30","slug":"seselines-ekonomikos-mastas-lietuvos-savivaldybese","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.teise.pro\/index.php\/2021\/03\/08\/seselines-ekonomikos-mastas-lietuvos-savivaldybese\/","title":{"rendered":"\u0160e\u0161\u0117lin\u0117s ekonomikos mastas Lietuvos savivaldyb\u0117se"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Remiantis \u012fvairiais skai\u010diavimais 2009-2015 m. laikotarpiu Lietuvos \u0161e\u0161\u0117lin\u0117s ekonomikos lygis varijavo vidutini\u0161kai nuo 16,4 proc. nuo BVP (Putnins, Sauka, 2015)\u00a0 iki 25,5 proc. nuo (Meidina, Shneider, 2018). I\u0161 tikr\u0173j\u0173 esant tokiam bendram dyd\u017eiui, sud\u0117tinga spr\u0119sti apie \u0161alies region\u0173 situacij\u0105 \u0161e\u0161\u0117lin\u0117s ekonomikos klausimais. \u0160e\u0161\u0117lin\u0117s ekonomikos lygio apskai\u010diavim\u0105 visose 60 Lietuvos savivaldybi\u0173 (iki tol nebuvo rasta tyrim\u0173, kuriuose b\u016bt\u0173 apskai\u010diuotas \u0161e\u0161\u0117lin\u0117s ekonomikos mastas pagal regionus) projekto Gerov\u0117s visuomen\u0117 \u201eTarpusavio ry\u0161iai tarp nedarbo lygio ir \u0161e\u0161\u0117lin\u0117s ekonomikos Lietuvos regionuose\u201c mokslinink\u0173 komanda atliko pirm\u0105 kart\u0105. Skai\u010diavimams imtas 2001-2019 m. laikotarpis. \u0160e\u0161\u0117lin\u0117s ekonomikas mastas vertintas pagal dvi rodikli\u0173 grupes: indikatorius (\u012fmoni\u0173 skai\u010dius, paramos gav\u0117j\u0173 skai\u010dius, bendras savivaldyb\u0117s biud\u017eetas, savivaldyb\u0117s biud\u017eetas socialinei apsaugai ir savivaldyb\u0117s biud\u017eetas sveikatos apsaugai) ir prie\u017eastinius veiksnius (u\u017eimtumo lygis, nedarbo lygis, darbo u\u017emokestis, gyventoj\u0173 skai\u010dius, gyventoj\u0173 tankumas, imigracija, emigracija, nefinansini\u0173 korporacij\u0173 skai\u010dius, pensij\u0105 gaunan\u010di\u0173 pensinink\u0173 skai\u010dius ir i\u0161laidos \u0161eimoms, auginan\u010dioms vaikus, i\u0161mokos).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" width=\"1024\" height=\"490\" src=\"http:\/\/www.teise.pro\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/regionine-seseline-ekonomika-86571971-1024x490.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-29152\" srcset=\"https:\/\/www.teise.pro\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/regionine-seseline-ekonomika-86571971-1024x490.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/www.teise.pro\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/regionine-seseline-ekonomika-86571971-300x143.jpg 300w, https:\/\/www.teise.pro\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/regionine-seseline-ekonomika-86571971-768x367.jpg 768w, https:\/\/www.teise.pro\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/regionine-seseline-ekonomika-86571971-1536x734.jpg 1536w, https:\/\/www.teise.pro\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/regionine-seseline-ekonomika-86571971-1320x631.jpg 1320w, https:\/\/www.teise.pro\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/regionine-seseline-ekonomika-86571971-600x287.jpg 600w, https:\/\/www.teise.pro\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/regionine-seseline-ekonomika-86571971.jpg 1600w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Mimic modelio metu gauti rezultatai atskleid\u0117, kad u\u017eimtumo lygis, imigracija ir gyventoj\u0173 tankis teigiamai veik\u0117 \u0161e\u0161\u0117lin\u0117s ekonomikos lyg\u012f visose savivaldyb\u0117se. Lyginant, kuris veiksnys tur\u0117jo didesn\u0119 \u012ftak\u0105 \u0161e\u0161\u0117lin\u0117s ekonomikos lygiui, mokslininkai padar\u0117 i\u0161vad\u0105, kad u\u017eimtumo lygis tur\u0117jo didesn\u012f poveik\u012f nei imigracija prie\u0161 kriz\u0119 ir po jos, ta\u010diau kriz\u0117s laikotarpiu, prie\u0161ingai, imigracija dar\u0117 didesn\u0119 \u012ftak\u0105 nei u\u017eimtumo lygis \u0161e\u0161\u0117linei ekonomikai.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Palyginimui pateikiama de\u0161imt savivaldybi\u0173, kurios tur\u0117jo ma\u017eiausi\u0105 ir did\u017eiausi\u0105 \u0161e\u0161\u0117lin\u0117s ekonomikos lyg\u012f trimis periodais:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Savivaldybi\u0173 de\u0161imtukas su ma\u017eiausiu \u0161e\u0161\u0117lin\u0117s ekonomikos lygiu<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td>&nbsp;<\/td><td>&nbsp;<\/td><td>&nbsp;<\/td><td>&nbsp;<\/td><td>&nbsp;<\/td><td>&nbsp;<\/td><td><strong>Pakilimo laikotarpis<\/strong> <strong>(2011-2019)<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Prie\u0161 krizinis laikotarpis<\/strong> <strong>&nbsp;(2001-2006)<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>Krizinis laikotarpis (2007-2010)<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>&nbsp;<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>Mediana<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>Stand. Nuok.<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>&nbsp;<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>Mediana<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>Stand. Nuok.<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>&nbsp;<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>Mediana<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>Stand. Nuokt<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Kazl\u0173 R\u016bdos<\/strong><\/td><td>16,495<\/td><td>5,746<\/td><td><strong>Mol\u0117t\u0173<\/strong><\/td><td>17,542<\/td><td>7,119<\/td><td><strong>Bir\u0161tono sav.<\/strong><\/td><td>10,485<\/td><td>3,525<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Kupi\u0161kio<\/strong><\/td><td>17,183<\/td><td>7,154<\/td><td><strong>Elektr\u0117n\u0173<\/strong><\/td><td>18,800<\/td><td>4,505<\/td><td><strong>Var\u0117nos r.<\/strong><\/td><td>11,532<\/td><td>3,324<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Kalvarijos<\/strong><\/td><td>17,600<\/td><td>5,107<\/td><td><strong>Zaras\u0173 raj.<\/strong><\/td><td>19,745<\/td><td>9,587<\/td><td><strong>Akmen\u0117s raj.<\/strong><\/td><td>11,552<\/td><td>3,474<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Neringos<\/strong><\/td><td>17,934<\/td><td>8,135<\/td><td><strong>Lazdyn\u0173 raj.<\/strong><\/td><td>19,987<\/td><td>7,243<\/td><td><strong>Rietavo<\/strong><\/td><td>11,777<\/td><td>3,791<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Akmen\u0117s raj.<\/strong><\/td><td>18,500<\/td><td>21,517<\/td><td><strong>Pakruojo raj.<\/strong><\/td><td>20,070<\/td><td>6,275<\/td><td><strong>Pag\u0117gi\u0173<\/strong><\/td><td>12,661<\/td><td>3,007<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Bir\u0161tono sav.<\/strong><\/td><td>18,857<\/td><td>6,797<\/td><td><strong>\u0160ilal\u0117s<\/strong><\/td><td>20,131<\/td><td>2,959<\/td><td><strong>Zaras\u0173 raj.<\/strong><\/td><td>12,676<\/td><td>3,666<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Panev\u0117\u017eio<\/strong><\/td><td>20,180<\/td><td>4,250<\/td><td><strong>Anyk\u0161\u010di\u0173<\/strong><\/td><td>20,554<\/td><td>3,541<\/td><td><strong>Roki\u0161kio<\/strong><\/td><td>12,776<\/td><td>3,531<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Palangos<\/strong><\/td><td>20,188<\/td><td>9,745<\/td><td><strong>Bir\u017e\u0173 raj.<\/strong><\/td><td>20,744<\/td><td>3,687<\/td><td><strong>\u0160aki\u0173 raj.<\/strong><\/td><td>13,032<\/td><td>3,545<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Skuodo<\/strong><\/td><td>20,374<\/td><td>13,361<\/td><td><strong>Kauno r.<\/strong><\/td><td>23,495<\/td><td>9,044<\/td><td><strong>Utenos&nbsp; raj<\/strong><\/td><td>13,249<\/td><td>3,321<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Pag\u0117gi\u0173<\/strong><\/td><td>20,376<\/td><td>7,640<\/td><td><strong>Tel\u0161i\u0173 raj.<\/strong><\/td><td>23,638<\/td><td>3,681<\/td><td><strong>Kazl\u0173 R\u016bdos<\/strong><\/td><td>13,593<\/td><td>3,105<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>*Baziniai metai 2004, 2009, 2014, kurie buvo atspirties ta\u0161kas skai\u010diuojant \u0161e\u0161\u0117lin\u0117s ekonomikos lyg\u012f<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Savivaldybi\u0173 de\u0161imtukas su did\u017eiausiu \u0161e\u0161\u0117lin\u0117s ekonomikos lygiu<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td><strong>&nbsp;<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>&nbsp;<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>&nbsp;<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>&nbsp;<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>&nbsp;<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>&nbsp;<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>&nbsp;<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>&nbsp;<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>&nbsp;<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td>Prie\u0161 krizinis laikotarpis (2001-2006)<\/td><td>Krizinis laikotarpis (2007-2010)<\/td><td>&nbsp;Pakilimo laikotarpis (2011-2019)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>&nbsp;<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>Mediana<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>Stand. Nuokr.<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>&nbsp;<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>Mediana<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>Stand. Nuokr.<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>&nbsp;<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>Mediana<\/strong><\/td><td><strong>Stand. Nuokr.<\/strong><\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Jonavos r.<\/strong><\/td><td>25,950<\/td><td>3,451<\/td><td><strong>Jonavos r.<\/strong><\/td><td>29,467<\/td><td>10,862<\/td><td><strong>Kretingos<\/strong><\/td><td>17,630<\/td><td>3,677<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>\u0160aki\u0173 raj.<\/strong><\/td><td>25,953<\/td><td>12,604<\/td><td><strong>Visagino<\/strong><\/td><td>29,483<\/td><td>10,723<\/td><td><strong>Kalvarijos<\/strong><\/td><td>17,630<\/td><td>5,173<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Kauno r.<\/strong><\/td><td>26,861<\/td><td>5,523<\/td><td><strong>Kai\u0161iadori\u0173<\/strong><\/td><td>29,528<\/td><td>7,776<\/td><td><strong>\u0160iauli\u0173 m.<\/strong><\/td><td>17,767<\/td><td>11,341<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Kretingos<\/strong><\/td><td>27,000<\/td><td>11,646<\/td><td><strong>Plung\u0117s raj.<\/strong><\/td><td>30,142<\/td><td>10,625<\/td><td><strong>\u0160iauli\u0173 raj.<\/strong><\/td><td>17,944<\/td><td>12,608<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Klaip\u0117dos m.<\/strong><\/td><td>27,089<\/td><td>1,708<\/td><td><strong>Klaip\u0117dos m.<\/strong><\/td><td>30,488<\/td><td>12,261<\/td><td><strong>Jonavos r.<\/strong><\/td><td>18,385<\/td><td>2,943<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Druskinink\u0173<\/strong><\/td><td>27,140<\/td><td>6,525<\/td><td><strong>Neringos<\/strong><\/td><td>30,822<\/td><td>5,261<\/td><td><strong>\u0160al\u010dinink\u0173<\/strong><\/td><td>19,140<\/td><td>9,619<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Lazdyn\u0173 raj.<\/strong><\/td><td>27,582<\/td><td>7,095<\/td><td><strong>Kretingos<\/strong><\/td><td>32,115<\/td><td>9,058<\/td><td><strong>Klaip\u0117dos<\/strong><\/td><td>19,611<\/td><td>17,304<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Vilniaus m.<\/strong><\/td><td>31,140<\/td><td>2,852<\/td><td><strong>Ukmerg\u0117s r.<\/strong><\/td><td>32,980<\/td><td>8,340<\/td><td><strong>Elektr\u0117n\u0173<\/strong><\/td><td>19,692<\/td><td>25,749<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Zaras\u0173 raj.<\/strong><\/td><td>32,254<\/td><td>4,773<\/td><td><strong>\u0160al\u010dinink\u0173<\/strong><\/td><td>33,598<\/td><td>13,147<\/td><td><strong>Neringos<\/strong><\/td><td>20,665<\/td><td>13,291<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><strong>Rietavo<\/strong><\/td><td>33,051<\/td><td>6,748<\/td><td><strong>\u0160irvint\u0173<\/strong><\/td><td>35,329<\/td><td>18,283<\/td><td><strong>Kupi\u0161kio<\/strong><\/td><td>21,308<\/td><td>5,420<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\u0160io tyrimo kontekste \u0161e\u0161\u0117lin\u0117s ekonomikos lygis Lietuvos savivaldyb\u0117ms per tris nagrin\u0117jamus laikotarpius &#8211; ekonomikos pakilimas (2001-2006), ekonomikos kriz\u0117 (2007-2010) ir ekonomikos atsigavimas (2011- 2019 m.) &#8211; \u012fvertintas pirm\u0105 kart\u0105. Imigrant\u0173 skai\u010dius, u\u017eimtumo lygis ir gyventoj\u0173 tankumas buvo nustatyti kaip pagrindiniai \u0161e\u0161\u0117lin\u0117s ekonomikos veiksniai Lietuvos savivaldyb\u0117se. Iki \u0161iol moksliniuose tyrimuose beveik nebuvo atsi\u017evelgta \u012f oficialios imigracijos poveik\u012f; daugiausia d\u0117mesio skirta neoficialios imigracijos neigiamam poveikiui \u201e\u0161e\u0161\u0117liui\u201c darbo rinkoje. I\u0161vada, kad u\u017eimtumo lygis taip pat pakelia \u0161e\u0161\u0117lin\u0117s ekonomikos lyg\u012f, skatina gilintis \u012f u\u017eimtumo prie\u017eastis, pavyzd\u017eiui, mokant darbo u\u017emokest\u012f \u201evokeliuose\u201c, nedeklaruojant gaunam\u0173 pajam\u0173 ir kt. Blogiausia situacija buvo kriz\u0117s laikotarpiu, kai did\u017eiausias \u0161e\u0161\u0117lin\u0117s ekonomikos lygis u\u017efiksuotas \u0160irvint\u0173, \u0160al\u010dinink\u0173, Ukmerg\u0117s ir Kretingos rajon\u0173 savivaldyb\u0117se (\u0161e\u0161\u0117lin\u0117s ekonomikos lygis siek\u0117 32 &#8211; 35 proc. BVP).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Tekst\u0105 pareng\u0117 prof. dr. Rita Remeikien\u0117, prof. dr. Ligita Gaspar\u0117nien\u0117, VU Teis\u0117s fakulteto Mokslo ir inovacij\u0173 skyrius<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Remiantis \u012fvairiais skai\u010diavimais 2009-2015 m. laikotarpiu Lietuvos \u0161e\u0161\u0117lin\u0117s ekonomikos lygis varijavo vidutini\u0161kai nuo 16,4 proc. nuo BVP (Putnins, Sauka, 2015)\u00a0 iki 25,5 proc. nuo (Meidina, Shneider, 2018). I\u0161 tikr\u0173j\u0173 esant tokiam bendram dyd\u017eiui, sud\u0117tinga spr\u0119sti apie \u0161alies region\u0173 situacij\u0105 \u0161e\u0161\u0117lin\u0117s ekonomikos klausimais. \u0160e\u0161\u0117lin\u0117s ekonomikos lygio apskai\u010diavim\u0105 visose 60 Lietuvos savivaldybi\u0173 (iki tol nebuvo rasta tyrim\u0173, &hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":29153,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"episode_type":"","audio_file":"","duration":"","filesize":"","date_recorded":"","explicit":"","block":"","filesize_raw":""},"categories":[27,116],"tags":[1968,663,2612],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.teise.pro\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29151"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.teise.pro\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.teise.pro\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.teise.pro\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.teise.pro\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=29151"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.teise.pro\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29151\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":29154,"href":"https:\/\/www.teise.pro\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/29151\/revisions\/29154"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.teise.pro\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/29153"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.teise.pro\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=29151"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.teise.pro\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=29151"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.teise.pro\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=29151"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}